Does America dare to go to war in Iraq and Yemen together?

05 January 2024, 4:52 AM

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U.S. Soldiers, assigned to the SACEUR Security Detachment, fire with MK18 rifles under the supervision of saferies during personal security detail qualification at the Training Support Center Benelux 25-meter range on Chièvres Air Base, Belgium, May 9, 2019. (U.S. Army photo by Pierre-Etienne Courtejoie)

Attacks on US bases in Iraq and defiance of the US decision in the Red Sea by Ansar Allah and continued targeting of Israeli commercial ships or destined for Israeli ports continue, forcing US forces to deal several strong blows to the resistance in Iraq and the naval power of Ansar Allah.
But it is clear that the United States does not want to fight its personal war in the Middle East again after the wars that cost it a lot in Iraq and Afghanistan, and trying to deter the Iraqi resistance and Ansar Allah requires American forces on the ground and not air strikes, given that the Iraqi government forces will not comply with the order of the US Central Command and will not clash with the Popular Mobilization, and in Yemen there is no power except the power of Ansar Allah.
This means that attacks by the Iraqi resistance will continue and intensify towards US bases in Iraq and Syria and may lead to the withdrawal of US forces from some or all of these bases to ease tensions, or pressure Israel to stop attacks on Gaza in exchange for stopping attacks on American bases.
As for what is happening in the Red Sea, it is the most difficult because Ansar Allah controls the Bab al-Mandab Strait, despite the presence of American forces and a new international coalition, the “Guardian of Prosperity” whose goal is to protect Israeli ships passing through the region, and given that Ansar Allah possesses in its arsenal strong weapons that were equipped for a long war with the US-backed Arab coalition, these weapons will make it easier for them to deal with nearby naval forces, while Saudi Arabia will not return to enter such a war again, and work will be on The process of landing troops into Yemeni territory is absolutely impossible and will be a holocaust for any force that tries to do it, and trying to deter a force like Ansar Allah from hitting targets at sea with drones and missiles is another impossible, and this means that the United States will have two difficult choices, either pressure Israel to stop the attacks or let the Iraqi resistance and Ansar Allah carry out their attacks without trying to deter them in advance.