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Houthi escalation against Saudi Arabia brings Yemen file back to regional forefront

Houthi threats to Saudi: mutual threats after Iran flight crisis to Sanaa amid warnings of escalation that could affect Yemen’s political track

The Houthi escalation against Saudi Arabia brought the Yemen file back to the forefront of regional developments, after the Houthis issued threats to target Saudi facilities following what they said was the interception of a civilian aircraft coming from Iran, while the Yemeni government considered the direct Iranian flight to Sanaa airport a violation of the country’s sovereignty, as the coalition affirmed it would take necessary measures to protect Saudi security and Yemen’s sovereignty, amid warnings of possible widening tensions.

Houthi escalation against Saudi Arabia after the Iran flight crisis to Sanaa

The crisis escalated after the Houthis announced that Saudi Arabia had attempted to intercept a civilian aircraft coming from Iran, warning they would respond if what they described as airspace violations were repeated.

This coincided with what Al-Masirah TV, affiliated with the group, reported regarding a Houthi delegation heading to Iran to participate in the funeral ceremonies of Iran’s former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, whom Tehran announced was killed in a US-Israeli airstrike in late February.

In this context, Al Jazeera’s Yemen affairs editor Ahmed Al-Shalfi said that the group’s military spokesman, Yahya Saree, issued a statement threatening Saudi Arabia with targeting its airports and vital and economic facilities, adding that this is the first time that the file of violating Yemeni airspace has been raised in this manner, amid the continued air embargo imposed since 2015.

Yemeni government and coalition: sovereignty violation and measures to protect security

In response, the Yemeni Presidential Leadership Council described Iran’s operation of a direct flight to Sanaa airport, which is under Houthi control, as a violation of Yemen’s sovereignty and a challenge to international law and UN Security Council resolutions, considering that the move undermines peace efforts and regional and international initiatives.

For his part, the official spokesman for the Coalition to Support Legitimacy in Yemen, Major General Turki Al-Malki, said that the Houthi threats against Saudi Arabia represent an attempt to divert attention from the internal challenges facing the group, stressing that the coalition will deal with any threat in a way that preserves the Kingdom’s security and Yemen’s sovereignty.

Reasons for Houthi escalation according to assessments and follow-ups

According to Al-Shalfi, the current escalation comes amid the failure of talks between the Houthis and the Yemeni government and the Saudi side on a number of issues, including economic matters.

He added that the United States still refuses, according to his assessment, to take steps related to opening airports and ports or transferring financial resources to the group, given the connection to its positions on regional developments.

He pointed out that the escalation is not limited to political statements, but coincides with field movements and tribal mobilization in areas under Houthi control, alongside military preparations in areas under Yemeni government control.

Yemen file between relative truce and potential escalation

The Houthis had announced last month a state of readiness and general mobilization, and the start of what they described as a new field phase, in response to directives from the group’s leader, Abdul Malik al-Houthi, while Al-Masirah TV reported that a new phase of military preparation and training was launched in the capital, Sanaa.

Since April 2022, Yemen has witnessed a relative truce on most fronts, despite sporadic clashes without any side achieving decisive field progress.

Ahmed Al-Shalfi believes that the continued lack of progress in the political track, along with escalating mutual rhetoric and military movements, could increase the chances of tensions returning to the forefront of the Yemen file in the coming period, as regional and international parties continue their efforts to push the political settlement track.

Days earlier, on a parallel front, Houthi leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi threatened to respond to any Israeli presence in Somaliland (the breakaway region), warning against attempts to turn it into a base affecting navigation in the Red Sea, weeks after the region opened an embassy in Jerusalem.

Al-Houthi affirmed that Yemen “will not stand idly by regarding any Israeli presence in Somaliland, and will not wait for the faint-hearted,” according to his description.

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